Jalen Carter's Mega Extension Depends on One Thing: His Shoulder

The Biggest Decision of the Eagles' Offseason

Forget the edge rusher trade. Forget the A.J. Brown drama. The single most important decision the Eagles will make this offseason — and possibly for the next half-decade — is Jalen Carter's contract extension. And it all comes down to one body part: his shoulder.

The Healthy Scenario: Pay the Man

If the Eagles' medical staff clears Carter's shoulder as a non-issue — a one-time injury that's fully healed with no degenerative concerns — then the extension is straightforward. You pay him like the elite, franchise-altering defensive tackle he is.

The number: $28-30 million per year, with close to $60 million guaranteed. That would slot Carter just below Chris Jones, which is exactly where a player of his caliber and age should land. Carter is younger, arguably more physically gifted, and has the potential to be the best interior defender in football for the next eight years.

At that price, you're not overpaying. You're locking in a cornerstone piece of your defense during his prime. You're sending a message to the locker room that elite performance gets elite compensation. And you're removing any uncertainty about Carter's future in Philadelphia.

The Degenerative Scenario: Pump the Brakes

But here's where it gets complicated. If there's ANY indication that Carter's shoulder issue is degenerative — if the medical evaluations show chronic instability, recurring inflammation, or structural concerns that could worsen over time — then the Eagles need to slow down.

In that scenario, you don't commit $60 million guaranteed to a player whose shoulder might deteriorate. Instead, you exercise the fifth-year option on Carter's rookie deal, which gives you one more year of control at a reasonable price while you gather more data on the shoulder's long-term prognosis.

The fifth-year option becomes a placeholder — not a sign of disrespect, but a prudent business decision that protects the franchise from a potentially catastrophic contract if the shoulder becomes a recurring problem.

Did the Eagles Cause This?

There's an uncomfortable question lurking beneath the surface: did the Eagles contribute to Carter's shoulder issues by playing him too much? Carter logged a massive number of snaps in 2024, and for a young player still developing physically, that kind of workload can take a toll.

The Eagles' defensive line rotation — or lack thereof at times — may have accelerated wear and tear on Carter's body. If that's the case, the organization bears some responsibility for managing his workload more carefully going forward, regardless of the contract situation.

The Maturity Factor

Shoulder aside, there's another element to Carter's extension calculus: maturity. The talent has never been in question — Carter's physical ability is generational. But the off-field concerns that surrounded him coming out of college haven't entirely disappeared, and the Eagles need to feel confident that they're investing in a player who will be a leader, not a liability.

This isn't about being perfect. It's about growth. The Eagles need to see continued maturation in Carter's professionalism, preparation, and leadership before committing nearly $200 million over the life of a potential deal.

The Moro Ojomo Wild Card

While we're discussing the interior defensive line, Moro Ojomo deserves mention. The young defensive tackle has flashed legitimate pass-rushing ability, and there's a real possibility he develops into a $20 million-per-year player down the road.

The Eagles have what can only be described as an embarrassment of riches at defensive tackle — Carter, Jordan Davis, and Ojomo form arguably the best interior trio in football. But here's the hard truth: you can't keep all three long-term. The salary cap doesn't allow it.

If Carter gets $28-30 million and Davis gets $15 million, that's $43-45 million committed to two interior defensive linemen. Adding Ojomo's eventual payday on top of that would consume an unsustainable percentage of the cap. The Eagles will eventually have to choose, and that choice will likely come down to which players provide the most value on third downs and in obvious passing situations.

The Bottom Line

Get the shoulder right. That's step one, step two, and step three. If Carter's shoulder is healthy, write the check and don't blink. $28-30 million per year for a 24-year-old who might be the best interior defender in football is a no-brainer.

If the shoulder is a question mark, use the fifth-year option and buy yourself time. There's no shame in being smart with generational money. The Eagles can't afford to get this wrong — both financially and competitively.

Jalen Carter's shoulder will determine the trajectory of this franchise's defense for the next decade. No pressure, medical staff.