McMullen's AJ Brown Scale Tips for the First Time — And It's Toward Gone

For weeks, the AJ Brown barometer has been stuck. Fifty-two, forty-eight. Staying. Barely. But on Monday's Birds 365, something shifted. John McMullen moved the needle for the first time this offseason — to 53-47, gone.

That might not sound like much. But when you've been locked at the same number through weeks of speculation, coaching changes, and offseason noise, any movement matters. And the direction it moved tells you everything.

The Combine Changes Everything

Here's why this week is different from every other week of AJ Brown discourse: the NFL Combine isn't really about 40 times and bench press reps. It's a convention. Agents and executives descend on Indianapolis, and the behind-the-scenes conversations that shape free agency — and trades — get started in earnest.

As discussed on Birds 365, this is where Howie Roseman starts fielding real calls. Not hypothetical "what would it take" texts. Real, structured conversations with teams that have cap space and receiver needs. And there are plenty of those teams.

The legal tampering period opens March 9. The new league year begins March 11. The clock is ticking.

The Cap Problem Nobody Wants to Talk About

The elephant in the room remains the $43.5 million in dead cap money that comes with trading Brown before June 1. That number drops significantly after that date, which is why any trade is more likely a summer move than a spring one.

But here's the thing — three months of speculation between now and June 1 means three months of phone calls, three months of leverage games, and three months of both sides posturing. The Combine is where the seeds get planted.

The Eagles' best-case scenario? Convince Brown that Sean Mannion's new offense is the fresh start everyone needs. That the scheme change addresses his frustrations. That this is worth one more run.

The worst case? The player decides he wants out, and you're looking at a Carson Wentz-style departure where the organization decides it doesn't want unhappy people in the building.

What the Market Looks Like

Brown's trade value hasn't diminished. He's still one of the most talented receivers in football. The Titans got pick No. 18 and a third-round pick for him back in 2022 when he was younger. The Eagles aren't accepting less than a first-round pick or an early second plus a quality starter.

The weak free agent class actually helps the Eagles here. Teams that can't find answers in free agency will come calling about Brown with more urgency. That's leverage Roseman knows how to use.

The Bottom Line

Fifty-three to forty-seven isn't a done deal. It's a lean. But when a reporter who's been covering this team for years breaks from his holding pattern for the first time — and breaks toward gone — it's worth paying attention.

The Combine starts this week. The calls will follow. And by the time June 1 rolls around, we'll know a lot more about whether AJ Brown is catching passes in midnight green or somewhere else.

[Watch the full breakdown on Birds 365 →](https://youtu.be/7efwMKmydRE)