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The Philly Godfather likes the Colts plus-7

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Steve Maltepes, known as “The Philly Godfather,” is one of the nation’s hottest sports betting experts who appears weekly on national radio, including Jakib Media. Each week, he will impart his gambling wisdom on the Eagles and where the smart money is going.

NFL Week 11
Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) at Indianapolis Colts (4-5-1), 1:00 p.m. Sunday

The Line: Eagles minus-7/Total: 45.5

What is the line telling you: Before the Eagles loss to the Commanders, this line was as high as Philly minus-10. Since then, we’ve seen this line drop down to Eagles minus-7 even money and as low as Philly minus-6.5 at some offshore sports books. And this is the reason why is the Eagles listed 13 players under limited participation: James Bradberry, Landon Dickerson, Brandon Graham, Lane Johnson, Isaac Seumalo, Darius Slay, Josh Sweat, A.J. Brown, Fletcher Cox, and Jason Kelce. These players are banged up, but will likely all play.

Now these players will probably not play:  DeVonta Smith, Haason Reddick, and Britain Covey. Losing Smith hurts because Dallas Goedert went down. Reddick typically plays the most of any Eagles edge rusher. Covey is the Eagles’ kick and punt returner. Eagles are limping into this game as 7-point road favorites and that’s just too many points here.

Bottom line: The sharp money loves the Colts plus-7 or better.

Cincinnati Bengals (4-5) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6), 4:35 p.m. Sunday

The Line: Bengals minus-3.5/Total: 40

What is the line telling you: The line on this game opened up with the Bengals being 5-point road favorites over the Steelers and since then the line has dropped 1.5 down to Cincy minus-3.5. We like the Bengals here minus the points. The last time these two teams played, Pittsburgh was lucky enough to come out with a 23-20 OT victory, but if you look at the box score, the Bengals actually dominated the game. Cincy had 165 more total yards, 19 more first downs, and 58 more rushing yards, and won the TOP battle by 17 minutes, but turned the ball over five times and gifted the Steelers the game. Joe Burrow and the Bengals had this game circled.

Bottom line: The smart money likes the Bengals minus-4.

Dallas Cowboys (6-3) at Minnesota Vikings (8-1), 4:25 p.m. Sunday

The Line: Cowboys minus-1.5/Total: 48.5

What is the line telling you: This line originally opened up as a pick’em and immediately we saw some sharp money hit the screen on the Cowboys, which forced bookmakers to move this line to Dallas minus-2 before we witnessed some resistance at the number, which pushed it back to Dallas minus-1.5 where it currently sits. The sharp money is all over Mike McCarthy’s team in a key game for the Cowboys if they want to stay in contention for the playoffs. The Vikings are coming off a grueling and emotional win against the Buffalo Bills and it’s a great gambling spot to bet on Dallas. Defensively, the Vikings will once again be without defensive tackle Dalvin Tomlinson, They’re down to two cornerbacks, so rookie Andrew Booth Jr. will make his first career start on Sunday. Offensively, Justin Jefferson will play, but is banged up and may not be 100-percent.

Bottom line: The smart money likes the Cowboys minus-1.5.

The Philly Godfather can be followed on Twitter @Phillygodfather & his website is www.thephillygodfather.com.

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